Villa search for a first home win as unbeaten Brentford arrive
Aston Villa have yet to win a league game at Villa Park this season, and the visitors on Saturday, 10 October 2026, are one of the form sides in the Premier League. Unai Emery’s team sit 16th with four points after defeats by Arsenal and Nottingham Forest at home, while Keith Andrews‘ Brentford are fourth and unbeaten after five games. Villa did win their last three matches in all competitions before the international break, but a Champions League visit from Fenerbahçe follows on Wednesday. Kick-off is at 3pm UK time, with Craig Pawson the referee.
A third straight home league defeat would be a first for Aston Villa under Unai Emery.
Predicted lineups: Villa vs Brentford
Villa remain without Amadou Onana and Ian Maatsen, but the rest of Emery’s injury list has eased. Pau Torres is reported fit again after his hamstring problem, Matty Cash is expected to shake off a dead leg from international duty and João Gomes is in line for his home debut after serving his suspension. Brentford have a fresh concern over Mikkel Damsgaard, who limped off with an ankle injury on Denmark duty and is a major doubt. Furo is out, while Collins, van den Berg and Jensen are all close but not certain to be involved.
Aston Villa Team News & Preview
Villa’s results improved just before the break, with a 3-2 win at Club Brugge in the Champions League, a 3-1 win at Coventry in the League Cup and a 3-2 victory at Tottenham, their first league win of the season. The underlying league numbers are still poor. Villa average 9.6 shots and 2.4 shots on target per game, the lowest figures in the division, and FotMob’s team rating has them bottom of the Premier League. At home they have scored once in two league games, losing 1-0 to Arsenal and 2-1 to Forest.
The Spurs win was also less comfortable than the scoreline suggests: Villa led 3-0 before conceding twice late on. With Fenerbahçe coming on Wednesday, Emery has rotation decisions to make, and the returns of Torres and Cash give him options at the back rather than in the final third, which is where Villa have struggled most.
What works for or against Villa
- Villa won their last three games in all competitions before the international break.
- They average the fewest shots and shots on target per game in the Premier League.
- Villa have lost both home league games and scored only once at Villa Park.
- Fenerbahçe visit in the Champions League on Wednesday.
Brentford Team News & Preview
Brentford have beaten Tottenham and Chelsea 3-0 at home and drawn their other three league games, conceding four goals in five matches. According to the club, they have spent just over three minutes behind all season, and they lead the league for set-piece xG, which matters against a Villa side that has won the fewest aerial duels in the division. Kevin Schade has three league goals, and Janelt has made more interceptions than any other Premier League player.
The away form is the weak spot in the argument. Brentford drew 1-1 at Leeds and 2-2 at Bournemouth this season and are without a win in their last seven Premier League away games. Losing Damsgaard would also remove one of their more creative players, with Carvalho the likely alternative.
What works for or against Brentford
- Brentford are unbeaten in the league and have conceded only four goals.
- They lead the Premier League for set-piece xG, while Villa have won the fewest aerial duels.
- Brentford are without a win in their last seven Premier League away games.
- Damsgaard is a fresh doubt after an ankle injury on international duty.
Villa vs Brentford Odds
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Aston Villa vs. Brentford Stats Comparison
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Aston Villa vs. Brentford Form Guide
Aston Villa Form, Stats & Data
Four goals in five league games, spread across four different scorers, tells the story of Villa’s attack. The FotMob rating of 6.23 is the lowest in the league, and Villa have created only a handful of big chances. Their 1.80 goals conceded per game is skewed by the 4-0 defeat at Brighton, but even at home they have not managed a clean sheet.
Brentford Form, Stats & Data
Brentford do not need the ball to control games: 45.2 per cent possession has still produced two goals per game and only 0.80 conceded. Their set-piece threat and aerial strength are a direct match-up problem for Villa, and Schade’s three goals give them a reliable outlet in transition. The concern is that both 3-0 wins came at home, and the away results have been draws rather than wins.
Head-to-Head
Brentford won both Premier League meetings last season 1-0, including their first-ever win at Villa Park in February, and Villa have failed to score in either of those games. Keith Andrews has yet to lose to Emery.
Home Team vs Away Team H2H Check
Villa vs Brentford: Prediction & Betting Tip
For me, the numbers point towards Brentford. Villa have the weakest shot output in the league, have lost both home games and face a side that has been behind for barely three minutes all season. Brentford’s set-piece strength is also aimed squarely at a Villa side that struggles in the air, and they have won the last two league meetings without conceding.
The one thing that gives me pause is Brentford’s away record: no win in seven Premier League away games, including two draws this season. That is exactly why I prefer Draw No Bet to the straight away win. If Brentford play the way they have on the road so far, a draw returns the stake; if they bring their home form to Villa Park, the bet lands.
The bet: Brentford Draw No Bet at 1.82 with Winz. Score prediction: 0-1.