Cagliari’s record defence faces a depleted Juventus
Fabio Pisacane’s side have won four of five league games and conceded just twice. Luciano Spalletti’s Juventus are seventh on ten points and arrive without several key attackers, including Kenan Yıldız. Kick-off is at 20:45 local time, with Matteo Marcenaro the referee. Cagliari and Juventus meet at the Unipol Domus on Sunday, 11 October 2026, sitting fourth in Serie A after one of the best starts in the club’s history.
„Now a different championship will start, moments of storm will come and we have to stay upright.“ – Cagliari coach Fabio Pisacane
Predicted lineups: Cagliari vs Juventus
Juventus have a long list of absentees. Kenan Yıldız is not expected back until December, and Jérémie Boga, Jeff Ekhator, Manuel Locatelli, Khéphren Thuram and goalkeeper Kamil Grabara are also out. Juan Cabal and Augusto Owusu are doubts. That leaves Randal Kolo Muani to lead the line, with Francisco Conceição and Edon Zhegrova the main creative options. Cagliari are without Riyad Idrissi and Mattia Felici, who both have cruciate ligament injuries, as well as Alessandro Deiola and Kevin Carlos. Yael Trepy is a doubt, and Zé Pedro is nearing a return.
Cagliari Team News & Preview
Cagliari’s start has been built on defence. They have won 1-0 at Parma, 1-0 at home to Lecce, 2-1 at Atalanta and 1-0 at Udinese, and their only defeat was 1-0 at home to Inter. Two goals conceded in five games is the best record in the league, and goalkeeper Elia Caprile has been a big part of it. They have won all three of their away league games so far, a club record for the start of a season.
The numbers also show how Cagliari get there. They have allowed 102 shots, the second-highest figure in Serie A, so they defend deep and rely on blocking and goalkeeping rather than pressing. Going forward they are economical: five goals in five games, three of them from Daniel Maldini. Pisacane has warned that tougher times are coming, but his side have shown they can keep games tight.
What works for or against Cagliari
- Cagliari have conceded only two league goals in five games.
- They have kept three clean sheets, all of them in 1-0 wins.
- They have allowed 102 shots, the second-highest figure in Serie A.
- Their five league games have produced only seven goals in total.
Juventus Team News & Preview
Juventus‘ league form has been solid rather than spectacular. They won 1-0 at Frosinone, beat Parma and Atalanta 2-0 at home and drew 1-1 with Milan, with the only blip a 3-2 defeat at Sassuolo. They have conceded four goals and allowed just 39 shots, the fewest in Serie A, so their defence is not the problem.
The issue is in attack. Yıldız is their most important creative player, and without him, Boga and Ekhator, Spalletti has fewer ways to unlock a deep defence. Zhegrova and Gleison Bremer are their top league scorers with two goals each, and Kolo Muani has created chances without finishing enough of them. That is not a profile that suggests a big scoring day against the best defence in the league.
What works for or against Juventus
- Juventus have allowed only 39 shots, the fewest in Serie A.
- Yıldız, Boga, Locatelli and Thuram are all out.
- Their top league scorers, Zhegrova and Bremer, have only two goals each.
- Four of their five league games have finished under 2.5 goals.
Cagliari vs Juventus Odds
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Cagliari vs. Juventus Stats Comparison
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Cagliari vs. Juventus Form Guide
Cagliari Form, Stats & Data
Cagliari score one goal per game and concede 0.40, which explains why their matches are so tight. All five of their league games were decided by a single goal, and the total across those games is seven goals. They are comfortable without the ball and dangerous on the counter, but they rarely open up.
Juventus Form, Stats & Data
Juventus score 1.60 goals per game and concede 0.80, a controlled profile built on keeping the opposition away from goal. Without Yıldız and Boga, their attack depends heavily on Conceição and Zhegrova creating chances for Kolo Muani, and Cagliari’s low block is designed to deny exactly that space.
Cagliari vs Juventus: Prediction & Betting Tip
Both sides are built to keep games tight. Cagliari have conceded two goals in five games and four of their matches stayed under 2.5 goals. Juventus have conceded four and allowed fewer shots than anyone in Serie A, and four of their five games also stayed under. Add Juventus‘ missing attackers, led by Yıldız, and I expect a low-scoring game.
The strongest argument against the bet is the volume of shots Cagliari allow. They have faced 102 shots, the second-highest figure in the league, and Juventus have enough quality to punish that if Caprile has an off night. Juventus also scored three at Sassuolo. But Cagliari have kept those chances away from goal so far, and I am happy to back the under.
My main bet is Under 2.5 Goals at 1.77 with Winz. My correct-score pick is 0-1 to Juventus.

