Error-prone Newcastle meet a Villa side who rediscovered their goals
On Saturday, 17 October 2026, Newcastle United take on Aston Villa at St James‘ Park, in round seven of the Premier League. Matthias Jaissle’s side are 11th with eight points after a 4-1 defeat at Coventry on Monday night. Villa are 16th with five points, but they arrive on the back of a 6-0 win over Fenerbahçe in the Champions League on Wednesday. Kick-off is at 18:30, with Jarred Gillett the referee.
“We made too many individual mistakes so these things we need to avoid otherwise you get punished in this league.” – Newcastle manager Matthias Jaissle
Predicted lineups: Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Newcastle are still without Anthony Elanga, their joint top scorer, who is expected back in partial training next week, while Valentino Livramento and Jacob Ramsey are not ready either. Jaissle said Bazoumana Touré is much better. Villa are short at left-back, with Ruggeri and Maatsen both out, so Wan-Bissaka is likely to play there again. Amadou Onana is a long-term absentee, but Pau Torres and Goretzka are back.
Newcastle United Team News & Preview
Monday’s 4-1 defeat at Coventry was Newcastle at their most vulnerable. Hornícek gave away an early penalty, Joelinton gifted the third goal, and Coventry won a home league game for the first time in 25 years, even though Newcastle had 19 shots. Jaissle admitted his side had made too many individual mistakes.
St James‘ Park has still been a good place for goals. Newcastle drew 2-2 with Liverpool and Bournemouth and beat Hull 2-1, so both teams have scored in all three home games. Jaissle says that, with the crowd behind them, his side can hurt any opponent.
What works for or against Newcastle
- Scored at least twice in all three home league games.
- Conceded four at both Coventry and Leeds.
- Joint top scorer Elanga is still out.
- Four days' rest after Monday's game.
Aston Villa Team News & Preview
Villa’s league form has been poor, with one win from six, but their attack has woken up. They won 3-2 at Tottenham, drew 2-2 with Brentford and then beat Fenerbahçe 6-0 on Wednesday, with Jackson and Barkley scoring twice each. The defence has been less convincing: Villa have conceded in each of their last four league games.
The concern for Emery is the turnaround. This is Villa’s third game in a week, and he may rotate. The left-back problem also means Wan-Bissaka is playing out of position.
What works for or against Villa
- Six goals against Fenerbahçe on Wednesday.
- Scored in each of their last two league games.
- Conceded in each of their last four league games.
- Short at left-back with Ruggeri and Maatsen out.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Odds
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Both Teams to Score
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Stats Comparison
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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Form Guide
Newcastle Form, Stats & Data
Newcastle score 1.67 goals per game and concede 2.17. They have conceded four goals in each of their two most recent away games, and individual errors have cost them, including a penalty given away by goalkeeper Hornícek at Coventry.
Aston Villa Form, Stats & Data
Villa have only six league goals and have failed to score in three of their six games. But the attack has picked up: they scored three at Tottenham, two against Brentford and six in midweek.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Prediction & Betting Tip
Neither defence gives me much confidence. Newcastle have conceded in five of their six league games and have made basic errors, while Villa have conceded in each of their last four league games. At the other end, Newcastle have scored twice in every home game, and Villa have found their scoring touch. I expect both teams to score.
The biggest risk is Villa’s overall attacking record. They failed to score in three of their first four league games, and with a third game in a week, Emery could rest key players. But Newcastle’s home games have all been open, and Villa’s forwards come into this in form.
I am backing Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.48 with Winz, and I have it finishing 2-1.