Roma vs Genoa Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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🏟️ Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Referee Rosario Abisso
Odds: 2.13
Genoa under 0.5 team goals
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Key Facts
✓ Roma have conceded only three goals in six Serie A games
✓ Roma have kept four clean sheets in six league games
✓ Malen, Dybala, Koné and Svilar are all missing for Roma
✓ Roma are unbeaten in 23 home games against Genoa

A depleted Roma face De Rossi’s Genoa

Genoa travel to the Stadio Olimpico to face Roma on Saturday, 17 October 2026, in round seven of Serie A. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side are third with 14 points and the joint-best defence in the league, but they arrive after a 4-3 Champions League defeat by Real Madrid on Wednesday, when they led 3-1 and conceded three goals from corners in the final eight minutes. Genoa, coached by former Roma captain Daniele De Rossi, are 17th on four points after their first win of the season, 2-1 against Fiorentina. Kick-off is at 20:45, with Rosario Abisso the referee.

“E‘ una squadra incredibilmente forte.” – Genoa coach Daniele De Rossi on Roma

Predicted lineups: Roma vs Genoa

Roma are without five regular starters. Goalkeeper Mile Svilar has a stress fracture in his toe, so Gollini starts, Bryan Cristante has a back problem and top scorer Donyell Malen is suspended after his red card at Como. Manu Koné and Paulo Dybala both came off injured against Real Madrid and are expected to miss out, so Castro could make his first Roma start up front. Genoa are without Sow, Colombo, Meichtry and Nuredini, and De Rossi said only Amorim is back, on reduced loads.

Roma 3-4-3
Gollini
Mancini
N'Dicka
Hermoso
Molina
De Roon
Pisilli
Wesley
Soulé
Castro
Mora
Absences
Svilartoe
Cristanteback
Malenred card
Konémuscle
Dybalamuscle
Bahknee
Genoa 4-4-2
Bijlow
Ehizibue
Marcandalli
Østigård
Vásquez
Ellertsson
Frendrup
Traoré
El Shaarawy
Messias
Osmajić
Absences
Sowmuscle
Colomboankle
Meichtryinjury
Nurediniknee
Amorimback in training

Roma Team News & Preview

Roma have been one of the toughest sides in Serie A to score against. They have conceded three league goals in six games and kept four clean sheets, including a 0-0 at Como last Sunday, when they played with ten men for more than half an hour after Malen’s red card and Gollini made several saves. They are also unbeaten in 15 home league games.

The Real Madrid game showed the risks. Roma led 3-1 through De Roon and two Malen goals, then conceded three times from corners late on. With Koné, Dybala and Cristante out, Gasperini has to rebuild his midfield and attack three days later.

What works for or against Roma

  • Only three league goals conceded in six games.
  • Unbeaten in 15 home league games.
  • Malen, Dybala and Koné are all missing.
  • Conceded four against Real Madrid on Wednesday.

Genoa Team News & Preview

Genoa ended a ten-game winless run by beating Fiorentina 2-1 last weekend, with Osmajić and Messias scoring inside the first 15 minutes. De Rossi said his side had not deserved so few points from their first games. Osmajić has three goals in five appearances.

Away from home Genoa have been poor, losing 1-0 at Lazio and 2-1 at Parma. They have had a full week to prepare, while Roma played on Wednesday, but Genoa’s last league win in Rome came in 1990.

What works for or against Genoa

  • First win of the season against Fiorentina.
  • A full week's rest while Roma played on Wednesday.
  • No points away from home.
  • Failed to score in two of six league games.

Roma vs Genoa Odds

AS Roma vs. Genoa Stats Comparison

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AS Roma vs. Genoa Form Guide

AS Roma Genoa
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W-D-L: –
Recent Matches
Genoa
W-D-L: –

AS Roma Form, Stats & Data

AS Roma Team Check
Squad Value –
FotMob Rating –
xG –
xGA –
League Position 3.
Form
Goals / Match 2.33
Goals Against / Match 0.50
Goal Difference 14:3
Possession –
Shots / Match –
Aufs Tor / Spiel –
Manager Gian Piero Gasperini
Most Valuable Player –
Top Scorer Malen – 6 goals
Top-Rated Player –
Outlook

Roma score 2.33 goals per game and concede only half a goal. Malen has six of their 14 league goals, so his suspension is a big loss, but the defensive record has held up with different line-ups, including the 0-0 at Como after Malen’s red card.

Genoa Form, Stats & Data

Genoa Team Check
Squad Value –
FotMob Rating –
xG –
xGA –
League Position 17.
Form
Goals / Match 0.83
Goals Against / Match 1.83
Goal Difference 5:11
Possession –
Shots / Match –
Aufs Tor / Spiel –
Manager Daniele De Rossi
Most Valuable Player –
Top Scorer Osmajić – 3 goals
Top-Rated Player –
Outlook

Genoa score 0.83 goals per game and concede 1.83. They have not scored more than twice in any league game, have failed to score in two of six and have not picked up a point away from home.

Roma vs Genoa: Prediction & Betting Tip

With Malen, Dybala and Koné out, I am wary of backing Roma’s attack, but their defence is a different matter. Roma have kept four clean sheets in six league games and conceded only three goals, and Genoa have scored just five times in six games and failed to score in two of them. I expect Genoa to draw a blank.

My main concern is Roma’s week. They conceded four against Real Madrid, three of them from corners, Svilar is out, and this is their second game in four days. Genoa also scored twice against Fiorentina and have had a full week to prepare. That is why I am keeping the stake lower, but Roma’s league record is too good to ignore.

Genoa under 0.5 team goals at 2.13 with Winz is the bet. Correct score: 1-0.

Alternative Betting Tips for Roma vs Genoa

Alternative Bet
Odds: 1.47
Roma to win
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Key Facts
✓ Roma are unbeaten in 23 home games against Genoa.

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