Unbeaten-at-home Helmond meet a NAC side revived under Kruys
Helmond Sport host NAC Breda on Friday, 16 October 2026, in round 11 of the Eerste Divisie, with kick-off at 20:00. Helmond are 17th on nine points, all of them won at home, and have gone four league games without a win after a 3-1 defeat at TOP Oss. NAC are fifth on 17 points. Rick Kruys took over on 8 September after Carl Hoefkens was sacked following a 4-2 defeat at RKC, and NAC have taken 10 points from his five games, most recently a 1-0 home win over MVV.
“Ik klop het meteen af, maar normaal gezien is hij er gewoon bij vrijdag.” – NAC manager Rick Kruys on Moussa Soumano
Predicted lineups: Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda
Moussa Soumano missed the MVV game with a minor physical problem but trained fully on Monday, and Kruys expects him to be available. Mats Seuntjens is still out with the knee injury he picked up in late August; he is running again but not yet back in group training. Helmond have no reported absences. Essakkati and Van der Sluijs did not feature at TOP Oss, but the predicted lineups have both back in the side.
Helmond Sport Team News & Preview
Helmond’s season splits neatly in two. At home they have won two and drawn three, scoring 11 and conceding seven: 1-1 against De Graafschap and RKC, 4-2 against VVV, 3-1 against Jong PSV and 2-2 against Heracles. Away from home they have lost all five. Both teams have scored in every one of those home games, and Helmond have found the net in each of them.
Form is the worry. They are winless in four, and at TOP Oss they were 2-1 down by half-time despite Ludwig’s long-range equaliser, before conceding a late third. Lenaerts is the top scorer with three goals, while Cicero and Essakkati have two goals and two assists each, so the attack does not rely on one player.
What works for or against Helmond
- Unbeaten in five home league games.
- Scored in all five home games, 11 goals in total.
- Winless in four league games.
- Conceded seven goals at home, including two against Heracles and VVV.
NAC Breda Team News & Preview
NAC’s away games have followed one script. They have scored exactly twice in each of them – 2-1 at TOP Oss, 2-2 at Roda, 2-4 at RKC, 2-1 at De Graafschap and 2-2 at Vitesse – but they have also conceded 10 goals on the road. Both teams have scored in all five.
Under Kruys the results have improved, but the defence is still a work in progress. The 1-0 win over MVV was NAC’s first clean sheet of the season, and they have conceded 19 goals in 10 games overall. Going forward there is plenty to like: Brym has five goals, Gladon four and Soumano three, while Nassoh has added two goals and three assists.
What works for or against NAC
- 10 points from five games under Kruys.
- Scored twice in every away league game.
- One clean sheet all season, 19 goals conceded in 10 games.
- Soumano trained fully after missing the MVV game.
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda Odds
Match Result
Double Chance
Handicap
Over/Under
Both Teams to Score
Helmond vs. Breda Stats Comparison
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Helmond vs. Breda Form Guide
Helmond Form, Stats & Data
Helmond score 1.6 goals per game and concede 1.9. At home they have been competitive in every game, and the goals have flowed at both ends, which is why all five home games have ended with both teams on the scoresheet.
Breda Form, Stats & Data
NAC score two goals per game but concede almost as many. Kruys has made them harder to beat, yet only one of his five games has ended with a clean sheet.
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: Prediction & Betting Tip
I would not back either side to win this one with confidence. NAC are the better team, but Helmond have not lost at home, and the two clubs‘ records at home and away are almost mirror images. What both records share is goals at both ends: all five Helmond home games and all five NAC away games have finished with both teams scoring. NAC have scored twice in every away game, and Helmond have scored in every home game, so I like both teams to score.
The strongest counter-argument is NAC’s last game. They kept their first clean sheet of the season against MVV, and Helmond are winless in four and scored only once at TOP Oss. If Kruys has tightened things up, Helmond could struggle. But one clean sheet in ten games is not enough for me to change my view.
I will be backing Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.50 with Winz. If I had to name a score, it would be 1-2.