Aberdeen vs St Mirren Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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🏟️ Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Referee John Beaton
Odds: 2.01
Under 2.5 Goals
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Key Facts
✓ Aberdeen's four home league games have produced five goals
✓ St Mirren have failed to score in their last three league games
✓ Aberdeen have scored three league goals outside their 4-0 win at Motherwell
✓ Aberdeen lost 1-0 at home to St Johnstone last weekend despite 23 shots

Goal-shy Aberdeen meet a St Mirren side that has stopped scoring

Aberdeen welcome St Mirren to Pittodrie on Saturday, 17 October 2026, in round 9 of the Scottish Premiership. Stephen Robinson’s side are eighth with eight points and were booed off after losing 1-0 at home to St Johnstone last Sunday. St Mirren, managed by Craig McLeish, are seventh on ten points but have lost four league games in a row, the last of them 5-0 at Hearts. Kick-off is at 16:00, with John Beaton the referee.

“A really sore one, a self-inflicted one.” – St Mirren manager Craig McLeish after the 5-0 defeat at Hearts

Predicted lineups: Aberdeen vs St Mirren

Aberdeen are without Kristers Tobers, who has a knee injury, while Emmanuel Gyamfi is doubtful with a thigh problem. Ayoub Mouloua went off with a head knock against St Johnstone, so his place is not certain. St Mirren are missing Malik Dijksteel, Jonah Ayunga and Keanu Baccus, and striker Agrafiotis needed a scan after getting hurt in the warm-up at Hearts. Aberdeen used a back three against St Johnstone; the graphic shows it as a 3-4-3.

Aberdeen 3-4-3
Müller
Molloy
Knoester
Milne
Cadden
Lyons
Ronan
Guinness-Walker
Marshall
Nisbet
Mouloua
Absences
Tobersknee
Gyamfithigh
St Mirren 4-2-3-1
Chapman
Ramsay
Gogić
Fieldson
John
Carr
Nsio
Kabia
Taylor
Mochrie
Phillips
Absences
Dijksteelinjury
Ayungainjury
Baccusinjury
Agrafiotisknock

Aberdeen Team News & Preview

Aberdeen had two-thirds of the ball and 23 shots against St Johnstone, but Saints sat deep and Josh Fowler’s penalty won it. Kevin Nisbet missed the best chance when he went through one-on-one. The problem is not new: take away the 4-0 win at Motherwell, and Aberdeen have three goals in their other seven league games.

Robinson used a back three last weekend and says he likes the 3-4-3, but he has also challenged his wingers to make his mind up for him. Either way, Aberdeen have not been opening teams up.

What works for or against Aberdeen

  • Three league goals outside the 4-0 win at Motherwell.
  • Only three goals conceded in four home games.
  • Booed off after the 1-0 home defeat to St Johnstone.
  • Five goals in four home league games.

St Mirren Team News & Preview

St Mirren’s run has been grim. They lost 2-1 to Celtic, 1-0 at Rangers, 3-0 at home to Dundee United and then 5-0 at Hearts, where McLeish pointed to two penalties and three individual errors. They have not scored in their last three league games.

They do have a good recent record at Pittodrie, though. St Mirren won the last two meetings between the sides, including a 2-0 win in Aberdeen in May.

What works for or against St Mirren

  • No goals in their last three league games.
  • Four league defeats in a row.
  • Won the last two meetings, including 2-0 at Pittodrie.
  • Only six goals conceded in four away games.

Aberdeen vs St Mirren Odds

Aberdeen vs. St. Mirren Stats Comparison

Show Recent Results
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Aberdeen vs. St. Mirren Form Guide

Aberdeen St. Mirren
Recent Matches
Aberdeen
W-D-L: –
Recent Matches
St. Mirren
W-D-L: –

Aberdeen Form, Stats & Data

Aberdeen Team Check
Squad Value –
FotMob Rating –
xG –
xGA –
League Position 8.
Form
Goals / Match 0.88
Goals Against / Match 1.13
Goal Difference 7:9
Possession –
Shots / Match –
Aufs Tor / Spiel –
Manager Stephen Robinson
Most Valuable Player –
Top Scorer Nisbet – 3 goals
Top-Rated Player –
Outlook

Aberdeen score 0.88 goals per game and concede 1.13. Their four home league games have finished with five goals in total: they have scored two and conceded three at Pittodrie.

St. Mirren Form, Stats & Data

St. Mirren Team Check
Squad Value –
FotMob Rating –
xG –
xGA –
League Position 7.
Form
Goals / Match 1.00
Goals Against / Match 1.75
Goal Difference 8:14
Possession –
Shots / Match –
Aufs Tor / Spiel –
Manager Craig McLeish
Most Valuable Player –
Top Scorer Phillips – 3 goals
Top-Rated Player –
Outlook

St Mirren have scored eight and conceded 14 in eight league games. Away from home they have been tighter, scoring three and conceding six in four games.

Aberdeen vs St Mirren: Prediction & Betting Tip

This looks like a low-scoring game to me. Aberdeen’s four home league games have produced five goals, and they have struggled to turn possession into chances all season. St Mirren have failed to score in three league games in a row. I like under 2.5 goals.

The biggest risk is St Mirren’s defence. They conceded five at Hearts and 14 in eight games, and Aberdeen did score four at Motherwell. If Aberdeen score early, St Mirren will have to come out, and the game could open up. But Aberdeen have rarely scored more than once, and St Mirren’s away games have been tight, so I am happy with the under.

Under 2.5 Goals at 2.01 with Winz is the bet. Correct score: 1-0.

Alternative Betting Tips for Aberdeen vs St Mirren

Alternative Bet
Odds: 2.05
Both Teams to Score – No
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Key Facts
✓ St Mirren have failed to score in their last three league games.

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