Minnesota’s poor home record meets a St. Louis side chasing first place
Minnesota United host St. Louis City at Allianz Field on Saturday, 17 October 2026, on Matchday 31 of MLS. St. Louis are second in the Western Conference with 51 points, one behind Vancouver, and clinched a playoff place with a 0-0 draw against the Whitecaps on Wednesday. Minnesota are on 31 points, about seven behind ninth place with five games left. Kick-off is at 22:30 CEST (15:30 local time), with Ramy Touchan the referee.
Predicted lineups: Minnesota vs St. Louis
Minnesota are without Alec Smir and Peter Stroud, while Anthony Markanich is in concussion protocol. Michael Boxall took a blow to the face in Colorado. St. Louis are missing Célio Pompeu, and Chris Durkin, Joshua Hiebert and Conrad Wallem are doubts. Wallem went off with a head knock on Wednesday, although Yoann Damet said he was fine. The line-ups below are predicted.
Minnesota United Team News & Preview
Minnesota drew 2-2 in Colorado on Wednesday, with Yeboah scoring his club-record 16th league goal and a late own goal earning the point. That followed a 2-2 home draw with Houston and three straight defeats, including a 4-2 loss at St. Louis.
They score goals, but their home form has been poor all season. Minnesota have won only two of 14 home league games and are now close to being out of the playoff race.
What works for or against Minnesota
- Two wins in 14 home league games.
- Winless in their last five league games.
- Yeboah has 16 league goals, a club record.
- Scored at least once in each of their last five league games.
St. Louis City Team News & Preview
St. Louis drew 0-0 with Vancouver on Wednesday, a result that clinched their playoff place. Vancouver had more shots, but St. Louis had more on target. Before that, they won 3-0 at Colorado, 3-1 against Toronto, 3-0 at the Red Bulls and 6-2 against the Galaxy.
The club say they are unbeaten in 19 MLS games, and they are one point behind Vancouver at the top of the West, so there is still plenty to play for.
What works for or against St. Louis
- Unbeaten in 19 MLS games, according to the club.
- Beat Minnesota 4-2 earlier this season.
- Durkin and Wallem are doubts.
- Playoff place already secured.
Minnesota vs St. Louis Odds
Match Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Over/Under
Both Teams to Score
Minnesota United vs. St. Louis City Stats Comparison
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Minnesota United vs. St. Louis City Form Guide
Minnesota United Form, Stats & Data
Minnesota score 1.52 goals per game and concede 1.83. Their home record is the worst part of their season: two wins, seven draws and five defeats, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded.
St. Louis City Form, Stats & Data
St. Louis score 1.86 goals per game and concede 1.31. Rafael Navarro has 17 league goals, and they have five wins, five draws and four defeats away from home.
Minnesota vs St. Louis: Prediction & Betting Tip
I find it hard to make Minnesota favourites here. They have won two home league games all season, they are winless in five, and St. Louis beat them 4-2 earlier this season. St. Louis are still chasing first place in the West. With Draw No Bet, a draw returns my stake, so I like St. Louis Draw No Bet at 1.96.
The strongest counter-argument is motivation and fatigue. Minnesota have to win to stay in the playoff race, while St. Louis have already clinched their place and played on Wednesday. Their attack also looked blunt against Vancouver, and Durkin and Wallem are doubts. Even so, I trust St. Louis more than a Minnesota side that has struggled at home all year.
I will be backing St. Louis Draw No Bet at 1.96 with Winz. If I had to name a score, it would be 1-2.