Toronto’s weak away attack meets a Red Bull side in the wild-card race
Toronto FC travel to Sports Illustrated Stadium to face Red Bull New York on Saturday, 17 October 2026, on Matchday 31 of MLS. Michael Bradley’s side have 36 points and hold a wild-card place, but they lost 2-1 at DC United on Wednesday. Toronto are on 33 points and drew 3-3 with Orlando, with Matheus Pereira equalising in the 90th minute. Kick-off is at 01:30 CEST on Sunday (19:30 local time), with Marcos DeOliveira the referee.
Predicted lineups: Red Bull New York vs Toronto
Red Bull New York have no players listed on the MLS availability report. Toronto are without Walker Zimmerman and Nelson Palacio, but Jonathan Osorio is back from suspension. The line-ups below are based on each side’s last starting XI.
Red Bull New York Team News & Preview
Red Bull lost 2-1 at DC United on Wednesday. DC scored from a penalty and a corner, and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting scored for the second game in a row, set up by Emil Forsberg. Before that, they won 1-0 at Columbus and 1-0 at NYCFC and beat San Diego 4-1 at home.
They are 8th in the East, holding a wild-card place, so they need points with five games left.
What works for or against Red Bull New York
- No players on the MLS availability report.
- Won 1-0 at Columbus and 1-0 at NYCFC recently.
- 27 goals conceded in 14 home league games.
- Lost two of their last three.
Toronto FC Team News & Preview
Toronto have scored five goals in their last two games, but both were at home: a 2-1 win over Montréal and Wednesday’s 3-3 draw with Orlando. Their recent away games tell a different story. They lost 3-0 at Orlando, 3-1 at St. Louis and 2-0 at Nashville, scoring one goal in those three games.
Over the season they have scored ten goals in 13 away league games, and they will also be without Zimmerman at the back.
What works for or against Toronto
- Ten goals in 13 away league games.
- One goal in their last three away games.
- Five goals in their last two home games.
- Zimmerman and Palacio are out.
Red Bull New York vs Toronto Odds
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Over/Under
Both Teams to Score
New York RB vs. Toronto Stats Comparison
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New York RB vs. Toronto Form Guide
New York RB Form, Stats & Data
Red Bull New York score 1.34 goals per game and concede 1.86. At home they have five wins, three draws and six defeats, with 22 goals scored and 27 conceded.
Toronto Form, Stats & Data
Toronto score 1.52 goals per game, but most of those come at home. In 13 away league games they have scored ten goals, with two wins, three draws and eight defeats.
Red Bull New York vs Toronto: Prediction & Betting Tip
Toronto have scored ten goals in 13 away league games, and only one in their last three away from home. Their recent goals all came at BMO Field. I do not need to pick a winner here, only to back Toronto to score once or not at all. I like Toronto under 1.5 team goals at 1.71.
The biggest risk is Red Bull’s home defence, which has conceded 27 goals in 14 games, and Toronto’s recent scoring. If Toronto get an early goal and the game opens up, a second is possible. But their away numbers over a full season are too poor for me to ignore.
I am backing Toronto under 1.5 team goals at 1.71 with Winz, and I have it finishing 2-1.