São Paulo’s home form meets a Vasco side with a cup semi-final on Tuesday
On Saturday, 17 October 2026, São Paulo take on Vasco da Gama at the MorumBIS local time, in round 31 of Série A. Dorival Júnior’s side are tenth with 39 points and beat Vitória 2-1 last weekend. Vasco are 14th on 35 points with a game in hand and won 1-0 at Boca Juniors in the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana semi-final on Tuesday. Kick-off is at 02:00 CEST on Sunday, with Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho the referee.
Predicted lineups: São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
São Paulo are without Djhordney, who is suspended, while Luciano and Jonathan Calleri have trained normally and are expected to start. Vasco have no new injuries, but local media report they are considering resting players before Tuesday’s second leg. The Vasco line-up below is the side that started in Buenos Aires.
São Paulo Team News & Preview
São Paulo beat Vitória 2-1 last weekend, with Calleri scoring twice and Rafael making a save in stoppage time. That ended a run of two defeats. Lucas Moura also returned after 160 days out.
The MorumBIS has been where São Paulo get their points. They have won nine of 15 home league games but only two away, and they are six points short of the 45-point mark usually needed to stay up.
What works for or against São Paulo
- Nine wins in 15 home league games.
- Calleri and Luciano are expected to start.
- Djhordney is suspended.
- 35 goals scored and 35 conceded.
Vasco da Gama Team News & Preview
Vasco won 1-0 at Boca on Tuesday, with Adson heading in from Andrés Gómez’s cross. Gómez was later sent off and will miss the second leg, but not this game. Vasco have won four and drawn one of their last five games, conceding once.
The second leg against Boca is on Tuesday, and Lance! reports that Vasco are considering resting starters with only three days to recover.
What works for or against Vasco
- Four wins and a draw in their last five games.
- Won the first meeting 2-1.
- Two wins in 14 away league games.
- Cup semi-final second leg on Tuesday.
São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Odds
Match Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Over/Under
Both Teams to Score
São Paulo vs. Vasco da Gama Stats Comparison
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São Paulo vs. Vasco da Gama Form Guide
São Paulo Form, Stats & Data
São Paulo score and concede 1.17 goals per game. Their home record is much better than their away form: nine wins, three draws and three defeats, with 24 goals scored and 13 conceded.
Vasco da Gama Form, Stats & Data
Vasco score 1.24 goals per game and concede 1.45. Away from home they have two wins, five draws and seven defeats, scoring 15 and conceding 24.
São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction & Betting Tip
São Paulo have won nine of 15 home league games, while Vasco have won two of 14 away from home. Vasco also play the biggest game of their season on Tuesday and may rest players. With Draw No Bet, a draw returns my stake, so I like São Paulo Draw No Bet at 1.45.
The best argument the other way is Vasco’s form. They have conceded once in five games, won 1-0 at Boca and beat São Paulo 2-1 earlier this season. If Pedro Emanuel keeps his best side, this will be much harder for the hosts. But São Paulo’s home record and Vasco’s poor away numbers make me happy to back the home side.
The bet: São Paulo Draw No Bet at 1.45 with Winz. Score prediction: 1-0.